|| 要旨トップ | 目次 |||日本生態学会第59回全国大会 (2012年3月，大津) 講演要旨
一般講演（ポスター発表） P3-226A (Poster presentation)
In order to help land management and the forest-based sector adapt to and mitigate the challenges of changing climate, it is essential to have several options based on prediction scenarios to present to policy makers and managers. Few studies have focused on the benefit of basing decisions on alternative scenarios for the uncertain and complex nature of forest ecosystems at scales that are actually meaningful for local managers. Climate change may affect the probability of extreme events such as wildfires. Although wildfires are one of the most important ecological processes in forest ecosystems, large-scale wildfires are sometimes perceived as an environmental catastrophe. To enhance our knowledge of how to cope with future extreme wildfire events coupled with climate change, this study presents several future scenarios in three different time periods for the Columbia Montane Cordillera Ecoprovince in Canada. By drawing on this knowledge, it may be possible to mitigate climate change impacts both before they arise and once they have occurred. These considerations are critical in maintaining integrity of systems shaped by large-scale natural disturbances to increase their resilience to changing climate while at the same time protecting human society and infrastructures. This would facilitate our adaptation to climate change in managing fire-vulnerable forest ecosystems.